Economic Forecasting宏观经济指标预测与研究Macro Indicators, Forecasts & Research
更新于 2026-09-01 04:36:06Updated 2026-09-01 04:36:06
主题看板Thematic Surface

利率与曲线Rates & Curve

聚焦 10Y、2Y 与 10Y-2Y 利差,观察交易窗口内的利率水平、曲线变化与风险偏好。Focuses on the 10Y, 2Y, and 10Y-2Y spread to monitor rates, curve shape, and risk appetite through the trading window.

3 个核心利率指标3 core rates indicators适合跟踪利率环境与曲线信号。Best for following the rates regime and curve signals.
日频Daily

日频市场信号Daily Market Signals

利率与利差信号更新更快,更适合观察当前交易日附近的变化。Rates and spread signals refresh faster and are best used for observing changes around the current trading window.

偏承压Under Pressure

10年期美债收益率10Y Treasury Yield

DGS10

日频Daily正常Normal
-8.0 bp
10年期美债收益率一个月变动One-month change in the 10Y Treasury yield
下一个交易窗口Next trading window

不同指标按各自官方发布节奏更新,月频与周频序列相较日频自然更滞后,这不代表异常。Different indicators refresh on their own official release cadence. Monthly and weekly series naturally lag daily ones, which does not imply an anomaly.

最新观测Observed2026-08-27 00:00
官方发布Official release2026-08-27 00:00
站点更新Site update2026-09-01 04:36
下一个交易窗口Next trading window2026-09-30 00:00
MASE1.011
相对基线技能Skill vs baseline-1.1%
近期 MASERecent MASE1.000
方向准确率Direction11.4%
观测与预测Observed vs ForecastBaseline[zero]
偏承压Under Pressure

2年期美债收益率2Y Treasury Yield

DGS2

日频Daily正常Normal
-8.0 bp
2年期美债收益率一个月变动One-month change in the 2Y Treasury yield
下一个交易窗口Next trading window

不同指标按各自官方发布节奏更新,月频与周频序列相较日频自然更滞后,这不代表异常。Different indicators refresh on their own official release cadence. Monthly and weekly series naturally lag daily ones, which does not imply an anomaly.

最新观测Observed2026-08-27 00:00
官方发布Official release2026-08-27 00:00
站点更新Site update2026-09-01 04:36
下一个交易窗口Next trading window2026-09-30 00:00
MASE1.016
相对基线技能Skill vs baseline-1.6%
近期 MASERecent MASE1.000
方向准确率Direction18.6%
观测与预测Observed vs ForecastBaseline[zero]
偏承压Under Pressure

10Y-2Y美债利差10Y-2Y Treasury Spread

T10Y2Y

日频Daily正常Normal
-8.0 bp
10Y-2Y美债利差一个月变动One-month change in the 10Y-2Y Treasury spread
下一个交易窗口Next trading window

不同指标按各自官方发布节奏更新,月频与周频序列相较日频自然更滞后,这不代表异常。Different indicators refresh on their own official release cadence. Monthly and weekly series naturally lag daily ones, which does not imply an anomaly.

最新观测Observed2026-08-28 00:00
官方发布Official release2026-08-28 00:00
站点更新Site update2026-09-01 04:36
下一个交易窗口Next trading window2026-09-30 00:00
MASE1.000
相对基线技能Skill vs baseline0.0%
近期 MASERecent MASE1.000
方向准确率Direction27.1%
观测与预测Observed vs ForecastBaseline[zero]