Economic Forecasting宏观经济指标预测与研究Macro Indicators, Forecasts & Research
更新于 2026-09-01 04:36:06Updated 2026-09-01 04:36:06
主题看板Thematic Surface

增长与通胀Growth & Inflation

围绕核心 PCE、非农与工业生产,集中查看月频宏观基本面的组合状态。Centers on Core PCE, payrolls, and industrial production for a focused read on monthly macro fundamentals.

3 个月频宏观指标3 monthly macro indicators适合月度资产配置与基本面跟踪。Best for monthly allocation and fundamentals tracking.
月频Monthly

月频宏观基本面Monthly Macro Fundamentals

通胀、就业与工业生产等基本面指标按月发布,因此天然比日频和周频序列更滞后。Inflation, labor, and production fundamentals are released monthly and therefore naturally lag daily and weekly series.

偏积极Constructive

核心PCE物价指数Core PCE Price Index

PCEPILFE

月频Monthly正常Normal
3.61%
核心PCE月度年化通胀Core PCE monthly inflation, annualized
下一个月度窗口Next monthly window

不同指标按各自官方发布节奏更新,月频与周频序列相较日频自然更滞后,这不代表异常。Different indicators refresh on their own official release cadence. Monthly and weekly series naturally lag daily ones, which does not imply an anomaly.

最新观测Observed2026-07-01 00:00
官方发布Official release2026-08-31 00:00
站点更新Site update2026-09-01 04:36
下一个月度窗口Next monthly window2026-08-31 00:00
MASE1.009
相对基线技能Skill vs baseline-0.9%
近期 MASERecent MASE1.000
方向准确率Direction71.9%
观测与预测Observed vs ForecastNestedEnsemble[factor_bridge+robust_state_space]
偏承压Under Pressure

非农就业人数Nonfarm Payrolls

PAYEMS

月频Monthly正常Normal
-126k
非农就业月度新增人数Monthly change in nonfarm payrolls
下一个月度窗口Next monthly window

不同指标按各自官方发布节奏更新,月频与周频序列相较日频自然更滞后,这不代表异常。Different indicators refresh on their own official release cadence. Monthly and weekly series naturally lag daily ones, which does not imply an anomaly.

最新观测Observed2026-07-01 00:00
官方发布Official release2026-08-07 00:00
站点更新Site update2026-09-01 04:36
下一个月度窗口Next monthly window2026-08-31 00:00
MASE1.136
相对基线技能Skill vs baseline-13.6%
近期 MASERecent MASE1.342
方向准确率Direction88.5%
观测与预测Observed vs ForecastBaseline[zero]
偏积极Constructive

工业生产Industrial Production

INDPRO

月频Monthly正常Normal
0.34%
工业生产月度环比增速Industrial production monthly growth
下一个月度窗口Next monthly window

不同指标按各自官方发布节奏更新,月频与周频序列相较日频自然更滞后,这不代表异常。Different indicators refresh on their own official release cadence. Monthly and weekly series naturally lag daily ones, which does not imply an anomaly.

最新观测Observed2026-07-01 00:00
官方发布Official release2026-08-17 00:00
站点更新Site update2026-09-01 04:36
下一个月度窗口Next monthly window2026-08-31 00:00
MASE1.025
相对基线技能Skill vs baseline-2.5%
近期 MASERecent MASE1.000
方向准确率Direction40.3%
观测与预测Observed vs ForecastBaseline[zero]